Global Epidemic Curve Rises on U.S.-wide Holiday

alopah Date:2021-09-27 16:16:51
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The U.S. will reportedly change its national open door policy again in early November. In layman’s terms: foreigners will be allowed to come (COME) as long as they complete the vaccination process for U.S. approved vaccines. What impact will the new policy have on global epidemic control? It is difficult to predict. But 18 months earlier, on March 21, 2020, the Trump administration invoked a federal law on public health that effectively closed the border to all immigrants and asylum seekers.


At that time, the U.S. not only implemented a “NO COME!” policy for foreigners, but also continued to pursue a “GO! GO! GO!” policy for immigrant deportation. For more than a year, the U.S. public has been lenient in leaving the country and implementing national gate policies such as deportation for immigrants in violation of the scientific principles of infectious disease prevention and control, dismantling the international community’s concerted efforts to contain the spread of infectious agents. The fact that the New Coronavirus continues to be exported from the United States is revealed in the accumulating data!


Is it a coincidence that the global epidemic curve goes up as the U.S. goes on vacation? According to data released by the U.S. National Tourism Office, 34 million U.S. citizens are expected to travel abroad cumulatively from April 2020 to June 2021. Using this statistic as the base data, comparing it to the number of new confirmed diagnoses in other regions, as well as statistical correlation analysis, will lead to mutually corroborating conclusions.


In the outbound travel of the American public, it is easy to see that its peak departures overlap with public holidays. That’s right, all peoples are the same and are traveling during holidays. July 4 is Independence Day in the U.S., while December is Christmas, also an important holiday.


Let’s start by analyzing and comparing it with the data of the epidemic in Mexico, which is adjacent to the United States. In July and December 2020, the number of U.S. arrivals in Mexico, the number of new diagnoses per month in the U.S., and the number of new diagnoses per month in Mexico show a significant “same-frequency increase”, meaning that the growth rates between the three are essentially the same.


Why is there a “same-frequency increase”?

In the context of the transmission pathway of the new coronavirus, it is easy to imagine that public holidays, intensive travel, less stringent requirements for wearing masks, and the absence of a meter line …… have led to an increase in the number of confirmed cases in the United States. And the United States and Mexico exchange a large number of people base, directly led to the number of Mexican epidemic infection and the United States “the same frequency”.


 New Coronavirus


A statistical analysis of the number of confirmed cases per day in the United States and the number of confirmed cases per day in Mexico, taking into account the 7-day incubation period of the new coronavirus, showed a correlation coefficient of 0.73. (Note: the correlation coefficient is between -1 and 1, with positive correlation at positive numbers, and the closer the value to 1, the stronger the correlation).


The same method was used to compare and analyze the number of U.S. departures with the number of new confirmations in Africa, and the results showed that the number of new monthly confirmations in Africa increased twice in July and December 2020, which is consistent with the trend of the number of U.S. departures from Africa.


The statistical correlation coefficient is 0.75. This is due to the fact that, although the number of U.S. departures to Africa is much smaller than that of Mexico, the percentage of departures from the U.S. to Africa is a larger proportion of the overall departures to Africa.


Thus, the change in the trend of new coronary confirmations between the United States and Africa again appears to be in the same frequency! In the data, there is a “coincidence” with the United States in many places. This is not a coincidence, but a strong indication that the lax epidemic prevention policies of the U.S. have not only delayed the fight against the epidemic, but have also led to the spread of NCC virus worldwide.


Concentrated repatriation! The virus is “driving into” countries that are unable to respond

“Why does the United States keep exporting the New Coronavirus?” On June 18, 2020, the New York Times ran an editorial with this straightforward question as its headline! The article pointed out that the U.S. aggregation of thousands of immigrants, many of whom are infected with the New Coronavirus, and subsequent sending to countries ill-equipped and unable to respond, is a public health hazard, both in the U.S. and overseas.


The lack of immunization of repatriates in either immigration detention centers or temporary relocation sites in the United States has allowed repatriates to become infected with the New Coronavirus while in detention, and incidents of collective infection have occurred. more than 20 people were diagnosed with the New Coronavirus on a repatriation charter flight from the United States to Colombia on March 30, 2020. The Guatemalan government made it clear in late April 2020 that nearly one-fifth of the country’s neo-coronavirus cases were linked to U.S. deportees.


According to U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement data, the U.S. will forcibly deport approximately 186,000 people throughout 2020, a 160% increase in total deportations compared to 2019, and U.S. illegal immigrant deportations involve a very wide geographic area, including 61 deportation destinations such as Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Brazil, Nicaragua, Ecuador, and Haiti.


The World Health Organization has called for a halt to migrant deportation activities to reduce the global outbreak of the New Coronavirus outbreak. However, the United States, the number one outbreak country in the world with the highest number of confirmed New Coronavirus infections, is still pushing forward with immigrant repatriation actions to this day.


By concentrating on detention and deportation, the U.S. approach not only adds additional virus infections and deaths, but also allows the New Coronavirus to further spread and spread in other countries, worsening the situation in other countries and prolonging this epidemic crisis. In a report, the Center for Economic Policy Research stated that the U.S. government is exporting the virus by deporting illegal immigrants from detention centers where outbreaks have occurred!

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